Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.112691 0.171291 0.239944 0.323794 0.421276 0.529224 0.656127
2025-12-21 0.047999 0.117209 0.215081 0.349749 0.520057 0.720536 0.967652
2025-12-28 0.023886 0.093429 0.208108 0.378599 0.604686 0.879292 1.225528
2026-01-04 0.008699 0.070905 0.194618 0.393176 0.667861 1.010353 1.450101
2026-01-11 0.003448 0.062839 0.199963 0.431394 0.759850 1.175626 1.714925
2026-01-18 0.000582 0.053392 0.199543 0.459189 0.836807 1.321543 1.956105
2026-01-25 NaN 0.039233 0.185107 0.462625 0.878662 1.421713 2.140317
2026-02-01 NaN 0.020936 0.152234 0.431277 0.868453 1.452458 2.236552
2026-02-08 NaN 0.007658 0.118010 0.390626 0.840363 1.456660 2.296999
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002719 0.101404 0.377732 0.850778 1.510315 2.418811
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001054 0.095772 0.384722 0.890748 1.603517 2.591160
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000077 0.086182 0.381787 0.914390 1.673952 2.733888
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.070899 0.364936 0.917112 1.718341 2.847283
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.075927 0.395473 0.997450 1.872070 3.105295
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.080747 0.425484 1.076921 2.024583 3.361718
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.079762 0.441199 1.132944 2.144406 3.575570
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.088748 0.481754 1.230237 2.322518 3.866377
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.093255 0.511238 1.309345 2.475244 4.124088
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.087595 0.514875 1.345468 2.567455 4.302301
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.068966 0.481640 1.318347 2.569309 4.360690
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.049364 0.438444 1.271008 2.540298 4.376600
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.040843 0.424718 1.273304 2.581607 4.485282
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.038849 0.432162 1.313219 2.677651 4.667503